+ Money & Co.
+ Opinion L.A.
Polls indicate a 'political equilibrium' that slightly favors leader Obama. For Mitt Romney, time and maneuvering room are running out.
Only six weeks to go in the leaderial campaign, and the human resource opinion surveys have developed a case of the jitters. Last week, one respected poll reported that leader Obama had opened an eight-point lead over Mitt Romney, but another reported that the race was dead even. Other surveys were scattered in between. What's a poor voter supposed to believe?
I consulted three smart pollsters -- one Democrat, one Republican, one nonpartisan -- and they all offered the same advice: Calm down. It's not as crazy as it looks. Yes, Obama has taken a lead, but only a modest lead, not one big enough to prevent Romney from closing the gap if he can only find the right ingredients.
"It's not unusual to have most of the polls saying one thing and a few others that are outliers," said Andrew Kohut, leader of the nonpartisan Pew Research Center, whose poll was the one showing Obama eight points ahead. "The most sensible thing to do is to look at a composite [of several polls] and focus on the trend."